Probability Unit Plan

Introduction to Probability

General Outcome:  Develop critical thinking skills related to uncertainty.

SO1. Interpret and assess the validity of odds and probability statements.  [C, CN, ME]

1.1 Provide examples of statements of probability and odds found in fields such as media, biology, sports, medicine, sociology and psychology.
1.2 Explain, using examples, the relationship between odds (part-part) and probability (partwhole).
1.3 Express odds as a probability and vice versa.
1.4 Determine the probability of, or the odds for and against, an outcome in a situation.
1.5 Explain, using examples, how decisions may be based on probability or odds and on subjective judgments.
1.6 Solve a contextual problem that involves odds or probability.
SO2. Solve problems that involve the probability of mutually exclusive and non–mutually exclusive events. [CN, PS, R, V]
2.1 Classify events as mutually exclusive or non–mutually exclusive, and explain the reasoning.
2.2 Determine if two events are complementary, and explain the reasoning.
2.3 Represent, using set notation or graphic organizers, mutually exclusive (including complementary) and non–mutually exclusive events.
2.4 Solve a contextual problem that involves the probability of mutually exclusive or non–mutually exclusive events.
2.5 Solve a contextual problem that involves the probability of complementary events.
2.6 Create and solve a problem that involves mutually exclusive or non–mutually exclusive events
SO3. Solve problems that involve the probability of two events. [CN, PS, R]
3.1 Compare, using examples, dependent and independent events.
3.2 Determine the probability of an event, given the occurrence of a previous event.
3.3 Determine the probability of two dependent or two independent events.
3.4 Create and solve a contextual problem that involves determining the probability of dependent or independent events.

Mathematical Processes

  • Connections [CN]  Students are expected to make connections among mathematical ideas, other concepts in mathematics, everyday experiences and other disciplines
  • Problem Solving [PS]  Students are expected to develop and apply new mathematical knowledge through problem solving
  • Reasoning [R] Students are expected to develop mathematical reasoning
  • Visualization [V]  Students are expected to develop visualization skills to assist in processing information, making connections and solving problems.
  • Mental Estimation [ME] Students are expected to demonstrate fluency with mental mathematics and estimation.
  • Technology [T] Students are expected to select and use technology as a tool for learning and for solving problems